Selamat Hari Raya

I would like to thank all readers on your kind and encouraging comments on my blog. I would like to wish you all Selamat Hari Raya and I would like to apologize if I have any wrongdoings

Selamat Hari Raya

Khairul The Malay Boy

What I've Posted In Tun's Blog II

1. Generally I agreed agreed with Tun's idea. Pegging the Ringgit requires lots and lots discussion. But I wonder if pegging the currency to a certain "value" of gold is appropriate since we have seen in recent months that the value of gold reaches up to USD 1000 an ounce.

2. The event of gold value reaches up to USD 1000 and falling back to USD 750 an ounce shows that the value of gold can be manipulated. Since we have seen that hedge fund traders has trillions and trillions of dollars pocketed by unscrupulous derivative trading. I still think that the value of gold can be manipulated by coordinated buying by hedge fund traders.

3. However, contradicting to my 2nd point. Even though gold is still up for speculation and manipulation. the value of gold will not drop to new lows in this modern day. Thanks to god which has created it to have and hold value. Therefore minimizing the risk of severe currency devaluation. And similar as Tun, I am also not an economist, therefore my argument could be ridiculous.

4. In my opinion, to use the Ringgit as a trade currency in order to increase the demand for Malaysian Ringgit thus strengthening its value might be a risky business. Even though we are one of the largest trading nation. One must remember that if trade volume decreases, it will affect our currency too. Thus, making the currency vulnerable to speculation and attacks. We have seen that speculative attacks to our currency is causing capital flights out of Malaysia.

5. We have seen that the value of USD fiat money is due to the demand for it in the market and I wouldn't like to see the Malaysian Ringgit suffer the same thing we had in the late 90's. China has trillions of dollars in reserves and as the the Arabs. But if the dollar keep weakening day after day. These economic behemoth's might call it a day and disposing their US dollar in order to protect their wealth. The disposing the US dollar will further devalue its currency and we know that the US dollar is losing its value day after day after they abandoned the gold standard after the Bretton Woods agreement failed.

6. In my opinion we all should go back doing what Tun has teach us a long time ago which is " Belilah Barangan Buatan Malaysia " , Establish our own brand. Invest in the Malaysian economy. Reduce imports and increase exports whether its raw materials, finish products, professional expertise and etc. Increase R&D for our own product and trust on the creativity and innovation of Malaysian. Sometimes we know how the Malaysian products fair with products of other country in terms of quality. But I don't doubt that we can produce goods as good as others. By reducing the need for imported goods, I think we are building our economy on more sound and solid foundation.

Economic Terrorism

In the light of recent happenings, we see big banks thousand of miles away crumbling down as they high priced paper assets reduced into pile of worthless paper no better that toilet papers. Due to their own greed, they crumbled on their feet trying to get a grasp at anything they can get to cover themselves from the financial apocalypse which they have started. An economy which is built on deception and deceit full of unscrupulous monetary institution creating monetary vehicles to generate income out of thin air based on accounting book entry basis.

10 years back we too suffer economic hardships due to those pirates who plunder our wealth and putting it in their pockets by sleight of hand, by flight of capital. In merely few months, years of toil by our people reduced into dust as if someone is robbing our nations wealth. The economic downturn not only hit our nation, but even every sovereign nation in the region. These are the works of what I call Economic Terrorist. Looting and plundering our wealth in such a way that even the law of our sovereign country couldn't catch.

And now due to their greed, they crumble into ashes, and requesting their political leaders to give a helping hand by nationalizing private debt. By means, government bailouts of private debts. The public has been forced to pay their hard earned money to pay debts created by sleight of hand of financial magicians. How can you pay debt consist of trillions of dollars with a few billions. While the good American people suffer, those Economic Terrorist still live in their big mansions with drivers and cheering on the suffering of others. The American people has been led to astray by these financial giants with the offering of cheap debt like carrot on a stick. People start to live above their means by utilizing cheap debt.

Now, the American people as the largest consumers in the world has lost their buying power. As the value of dollar declining, they buying power too. It will impact other nations such as us. Resulting slower growth in our region.

After they terrorize us 10 years ago, now they're terrorizing the American people and the global population. What we've seen is just the tip of the iceberg. More shall prevail in the coming months.

Are we ready for the global financial meltdown ? We are being terrorized economically and it is an economic assault. This financial meltdown is far more powerful than any other nuclear bomb ever created. Millions will die due to starvation, millions will die due to bad living conditions, million will die due to neglect, millions will die due to petty crimes, and the numbers are unimaginable due to the sheer size of its effects. This Economic chemically toxic biological nuclear bomb will affect millions of the world populations. This bomb will affect everyone socially and economically. Poverty will lead people to unthinkable things and breeding fascism as what we have seen in history books such as the rise of the Third Reich in Germany 60 years ago.

Someone is engineering this global financial meltdown phenomenon and they have nothing to lose. The rise of fascism will lead to war and more unthinkable events. Think deep and think hard, be wise and prudent, the storm is just brewing and the world financial fundamentals are shaking...... and maybe the tides of war might be coming too...

RED ALERT !! excerpt from http://futurefastforward.com/component/content/article/381

Why Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcob, the 2nd Finance Minister, Should Be Sacked - By Matthias Chang (LATEST UPDATE) PDF Print E-mail
Matthias Chang
Saturday, 20 September 2008 08:36

If someone is slow in comprehension and or stupid, we should bend backwards and strive to assist such a person to understand the issues at hand.



But when a well-educated and qualified person lies and or misrepresents the facts for a political agenda, thereby causing financial loss and hardship to innocent people, we should not hesitate to demand his ouster or dismissal from his position of responsibility.



I have therefore no hesitation in demanding the dismissal and ouster of Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcob as Second Finance Minister in the Badawi regime because it is abundantly clear that he has been, and will continue to be, an irresponsible minister. My reasons for demanding his dismissal are as follows:



1. Since December 2006, I have been warning the government of the global financial crisis as a result of the corrupt banking system in the United States. He may be forgiven for not taking action and or advising the sleepy Badawi in 2006. But when the crisis erupted in July and August 2007, and was headlines news in all the international mass media, this idiot took no noticeable action to prepare the nation.



2. When the crisis became full blown in 2008, both the Mid-Term Review of the 9th Malaysia Plan and the recent 2009 Budget [1] failed to address sufficiently the impact that the financial crisis will have on the Malaysian economy.



3. If sleepy Badawi and this idiot are of the view that the financial crisis will have little impact on Malaysia’s economy, I would like to know their explanations for the massive price inflation in Malaysia, the withdrawal of subsidies for petrol, the massive injection of funds in the public sector – more than RM30 billion for Operating Expenditure in the 2009 budget tabled recently in Parliament and the scaling down and or abandonment of the so-called “mega projects”. Additionally, the injection by Petronas of another 6% dividend to the government to enable the Badawi regime to have more liquidity to meet pressing demands.



4. On Wednesday, the Dow suffered a massive heart attack and this immediately caused the KLCI to breach below 1,000, the first time in two years!



5. Yet, our Second Finance Minister dare state, and as reported in the Star newspaper on 20th September 2008 at page 4, that “Malaysia will not be vastly affected by the financial crisis in the United States because of its strong economic fundamentals.” It has been often said that when the US sneezes, Malaysia catches the cold.



Yet, in the same report, a few paragraphs later, this idiot contradicted himself by acknowledging that: “Malaysia as a country which was well integrated into the global economy would not be spared from the US financial crisis.” I can come to one conclusion and one conclusion only – Nor Mohamed Yakcob has been infected by the Badawi flip-flop disease and is totally overwhelmed by the crisis and is at a loss as to how to cope with the worsening situation. Is he not an idiot?



6. Like Badawi, he is only too glad to have Najib take over the finance portfolio so that whatever blunders committed thus far (for which he shares equal responsibility with Badawi) and all future financial chaos as a result of the mismanagement of the economy will fall squarely on Najib’s shoulders. This scumbag will then hide behind the convenient excuse that he is only the Second Finance Minister and cannot be held responsible as the buck must stop with the Finance Minister.



7. But the public are not fools easily taken in by such rhetoric. This is because when Badawi was the Finance Minister, it was known to all that Nor Mohamed Yakcob was the man running the ministry. This will not change when Najib assumes the responsibility of Finance Minister. Najib has little or no experience in this area and it takes at least a year to settle in any ministry and get to grips with the policies and strategies necessary to keep the ship in good order. It is a given that Najib, like Badawi, will rely heavily on Nor Mohamed Yakcob.



8. Nor Mohamed Yakcob cannot deny and or state that he was unaware that on Wednesaday, all major international mass media were of the view that the global banking system was on the verge of total collapse and that the massive US$85 billion bail-out of AIG temporarily halted the massive collapse of the global stock markets and run on US banks!



9. Major central banks collectively injected a massive US$180 billion into the market – this is on top of the US$ 1 trillion injected betweern 2007 and the first half of 2008. This was part of the package of the US$247 billion rescue structure – ECB giving US$110 billion, the Swiss National Bank up to US$27 billion, the Bank of Japan up to US$60 billion, the Bank of England up to US$40 billion and the Bank of Canada up to US$10 billion. And yet this idiot says that Malaysia will not be affected by this massive financial crisis. This is either height of arrogance or downright stupidity. Whichever may be the case, it is clear that he is incompetent and utterly irresponsible!



10. So let me ask all Malaysians the following question:



Given the past performance of the Badawi regime in economic matters (for which Nor Mohamed Yakcob played a critical role) and an inexperienced Najib assuming the responsibility of Finance Minister (and his inevitable reliance on this idiot), do you have any confidence in the Badawi/Najib regime to steer the country in an orderly fashion out of the financial mess that will impact massively on our economy before the end of 2008?



11. If your answer is a resounding NO then it is obvious that Nor Mohamed Yakcob must be dismissed and replaced with a more suitable person. Malaysia’s economy is like a ship without a captain. This is bearable if we have a good and experienced chief mate [2]. But Nor Mohamed Yakcob has been proven to be utterly inadequate. And unless we address this critical issue within the next two months, we will be beyond rescue.



Let me explain why the situation is so dire and dangerous.



Since Wednesday, when the financial shits hit the ceiling fan, I was hoping that the so-called leading economics and financial commentators and opinion makers would explain the situation to the Malaysian public via the national dailies, the blogs and the TV network. I came across not one article or broadcast that explains the underlying reasons for the inevitable dire consequences.



Sure there were articles on the crisis, but they were merely describing the rescue of the largest insurance company in the USA (A.I.G.) if not the world and the amount involved. No explanation whatsoever, as to why only a few days earlier the Fed and the Treasury allowed the 4th largest bank, Lehman Bros to fold up but rushed in to rescue AIG with an unprecedented US$ 85 billion.



In my various articles published in my website and my final volume of the Future Fast-Forward Trilogy – The Shadow Money-Lenders and the Global Financial Tsunami – I explained in great detail the corruption within the global banking system and how these financial leeches through fraud and political protection created and amassed a global financial fortune in excess of US$500 Trillion.



Let me assure you that this is not a typo error. You got it right. It is not billions but a whopping US$500 trillion. I have been advised that as of the Q2 of 2008, the figure may have reached US$565 trillion.



This is a complex subject but I shall endeavour to make it as simple as I can.



Starting Point



The Ponzi Scheme



The crux of the fraudulent Ponzi scheme is the twin pillars of:



1) Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac – the two giant mortgage corporations of USA



2) The Derivative financial tool known as Credit Default Swap (CDS)



Once you have a grasp of these two concepts, you cannot but agree that we are facing total global banking collapse. Why? Because the entire global banking system has been built on these two financial pillars! But the system became irreparable in the last 7 years when CDS became the linchpin in the massive expansion of derivative trading and financial engineering.



The Mechanics



1. Banks became greedy and were unwilling to earn safe and steady profits from mortgages for housing and commercial properties which usually spread over a period of between 5 to 30 years.



2. Banks wanted massive profits in the shortest period of time and the ability to lend massive amounts and not be regulated as to how to do it.



3. The crooks devised a scheme. It was a simple idea.



4. Banks will provide mortgages to all and sundry.



5. I am going to use a simple example and using small numbers to illustrate for ease of calculation. Thus, assuming the Bank gave out US$1 million to finance mortgages, bearing interest at 10%.



6. The bank then sold the mortgages to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac at a discount. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac being Government Sponsored Companies (GSCs) are able to get cheap financing to purchase these mortgages as they were assumed to be “guaranteed by the US Government”.



7. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac then package these mortgages into all sorts of structured financial products and these were sold to investors (private as well governments). Central Banks hold massive amounts of dollar reserves and they need to find a safe haven for them. Hence, and invariably, Central Banks invest their reserves in US Treasuries and financial “mortgage-backed" products issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as well as other US financial institutions.



8. With the payment of US$ 1 million by Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac, the bank by law, can lend ten times the amount after keeping 10% reserves i.e.US$100,000. Therefore, the bank can lend US$9 million by “creating money out of thin air” i.e. by crediting the borrowers in their loan accounts in amount of the loans extended. These US$9 million loans secured by mortgages are then sold to Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac again.



The cycle keeps repeating and the banks keep creating more and more loans.



It was so easy that the banks decided to create dubious loans called “Liars Loans” whereby the borrower need not state the actual income and or ability to repay.



9. As more and more of these loans were created, investors (government and private) demanded assurances that these loans were good for investments. The rating agencies (e.g. Moodys, Standard & Poor and Fitch etc.) who in collusion with banks, gave AAA ratings to what were essentially junks. This fraud led investors to believe that these financial products were good investments.



10. The rating agencies were only too aware that this scheme needed something more concrete to prolong the fraud and induce the investors to part with their monies.



11. The insurance companies like A.I.G. came into the picture. They were seduced by the idea that if they can insure against risks of accidents, storms etc., they could also insure risks against default by the mortgage holders. Thus was born the financial innovation – Credit Default Swap (CDS). Any financial product with a sound CDS would be rated AAA. It was as good as being guaranteed by Uncle Sam. Assholes the world over, especially central banks, fell for it – hook, line and sinker. Bank Negara was no exception.



12. The scheme works out like this – AIG sells protection – i.e. in the event there is a default, AIG will pay out to the buyer who buys the protection (the CDS) in exchange for the payment of premiums covering the period of protection not unlike your usual insurance policy. It was easy money for everyone.



The banks get to sell their loans and have the liquidity to create more loans.



Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac and other financial institutions get the opportunity to repackage these loans / mortgages and sells them to investors with a tidy profit.



The investors are happy with their so-called guaranteed returns. The insurance companies, investment banks and other players get their premium income for selling protection. It was old fashion mafia loan sharking and protection business dressed up in modern financial jargon and everyone was too arrogant and greedy to see through the fraud.



13. When loans default and continue to be delinquent, the law (depending on each country) provides that if the loan is in default for 90 days or more, it should be declared a Non-Performing Loan (NPL) and banks must provide reserve to cover the loss.



14. What happened was banks were covering the defaults and kept them on the books for two years or more in the hope that no one would be wiser and interest income from new loans would cover the defaulted old loans – the classic ponzi modus operandi.



15. When the two years default reached critical proportions starting with the sub-prime loans, the fraud began to unravel. Investors began demanding their protection money for the losses arising from these defaults. It has been estimated that the market value of the CDS was in excess of US$60 trillion but the capital of the insurance companies like AIG are only in the billions. It is therefore a physical impossibility to make good the demand for payment for the defaults.



16. If AIG the No. 1 insurer in US and the world is in default, it means the rest are in deep shits. You can take it as a given that no one and no one has good coverage and protection anymore.



17. When there is no coverage and protection, how can there be AAA ratings for new issues of such financial products? Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac etc. cannot package these products for sale to investors and if they cannot sell, they will have no funds to buy more dubious mortgages from corrupt and fraudulent Wall Street banks. With no additional funds, these crooks in JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Lehman Bros., Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Bank of America, UBS, Barclays, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, etc. will have difficulty extending new loans.



The “Musical Money Chair” will have to come to a complete halt. The entire system gets into a gridlock.



Given the above explanation, can the US government and the Fed continue to bail out banks and other financial institutions? When US is in deficit in both the budget and current accounts, where else can they get the extra monies except by creating out of thin air (virtually by keying digits into computers) or print more dollars.



If you are a sovereign lender or a private hedge fund, knowing the situation, would you lend more monies to the US Treasury knowing that each dollar issued (whether digitally or in printed notes) are not worth the value stated therein.



These dollars ARE NO BETTER THAN TOILET PAPER.



The bulk of our reserves are in US dollars. Our trade – petroleum products, palm oil and other exports are mainly traded in dollars. When the dollar dives into the cesspool of waste, what then?



This is the impending mess that Malaysia will be facing as early as end of 2008.



Have you heard anyone other than this writer talking about it?



Has anyone got the faintest idea as to how we are to cope with the social disruption arising out of this mess?



Has anyone advised you what alternatives you can adopt to save your family and your hard-earned money from the devastation?



YES, I AM BLOODY MAD THAT THIS STUPID GOVERNMENT HAS DONE ABSOLUTELY NOTHING TO PROVIDE A SAFETY NET FOR THE RAKYAT.



WHEN THE TIME COMES, ARE YOU PREPARED TO STAND IN LINE WITH ME IN THE TRENCHES TO HUNT DOWN THESE CROOKS AND SCOUNDRELS?



This is a decision you have to make.



I hope that you will make the right choice and decision.





End Notes



[1] The Malaysian Budget is tabled before Parliament in the Q3 of the year. Hence, the 2009 Budget is tabled in Q3 of 2008 and the 2008 budget was tabled in the Q3 of 2007.



[2] The chief mate is responsible to the captain for the safety and security of the ship. Responsibilities include the crew's welfare and training in areas such as safety, firefighting, search and rescue. The Chief Mate is second in command.

What I posted in Dr. Mahathir's Blog

Regarding to Tun's post, I would like to elaborate some more points.

1. The US Federal Reserve is basically a private corporation and it's major goals are to profit more.

2. The reason why the US Federal Reserve is bailing out AIG is because of that the AIG is a major guarantor of many derivative products such as CDO's etc which are deemed as " toxic waste " by most economist. These financial products needed to be insured so that it can improved it ratings by the ratings agency. Thus luring investors to buy those products. If AIG fails, it will render all those financial derivative products to be worthless and losing value. Resulting that more financial companies and hedge funds are going busted due to that their so called paper assets are considered worthless as if it was toilet paper and it means they are insoluble. If this happens, there's going to be more failure in the finance sector.

3. The Federal Reserve creates money out of thin air as if creating money is just a matter of creating an entry in an book keeping account. Please do some research on how banks created money.

4. The value of US Dollar is rallying up recently. Maybe someone could explain to me why since most of the commodities and equities market are suffering. Something is not right when prices are going down but supply is not enough or the market has been filled with coordinated speculators and hedge fund traders who took part in creating a bubble to manipulate the market and sucking out our hard earned income. Or something much more eerie is brewing up as if we're going into a war.

5. I think it is wise for Bank Negara to dump US dollars. However if a war broke out. I wonder what will happen to the US dollar.

http://test.chedet.com/che_det/2008/09/financial-turmoil.html

Spinning & Swapping Anyone ?

talking about spinning ..... I wonder what is Pak Lah up to now ... spinning and swapping ministries with Najib. I wonder if the economy is going tumbling down ... thus passing the batton to Najib. Therefore Najib will get the blame if the economy is tumbling down. Commodities are down, equities are down, US and its future generation are burdened by unpayable debt and few days back ... someone from the British Government is mentioning bout Britain is going to suffer economically soon ... How bout the decoupling theory ? It looks like the theory is busted. The question now is, with our economic fundamentals, how resilient are the Malaysian economy to sustain its growth ?

Malaysia and The New World Order

1. We often heard the phrase " The New World Order" in the newspapers, the television, books and all sorts of media. However, do we really know what the hell does it means ? Eventually, who are the ones who have the power to dictate what is " The New World Order" ?

2. Everyday when we wake up and get on with our daily lives, do we realize that " The New World Order " is being forged without us even knowing or seeing it or we don't even know what the hell it is and how it is going to affect our lives.

3. Lately, most of us Malaysians are complaining on the increase of cost of living due to rising fuel cost. Its not just us Malaysians, the whole world is in distress due to the rising fuel prices. However, recently we have seen that world fuel prices is declining. Therefore one question arises in my head, what was the real reason of the escalating fuel prices ? Is there really a shortage of fuel in the world market ? Until now, no one has come out with the answer on why does the fuel price increase. I read in the news and on the net, all the possible causes are merely just notions and hunches by economist trying to justify the increase by applying text book economics of supply and demand. However, is there a possibility that the escalating price was a situation engineered and properly executed and coordinated by a certain entity which have the capability to do so ? In that case, that entity might have the ability to set " The New World Order "

4. If that is the case, how do we mitigate this mischievous act which destroys our life, our nation and our country.

5. These are the few questions which riddled me everyday and causing me to lose sleep thinking, reading, researching. I'm not an economist, I'm and engineer by profession. But all these events is encouraging me to know more on economics. Anyone want to sponsor me for a postgraduate degree ?

6. Due to the factors above, I feel that it is our obligation as Malaysians to be prepared and safeguard our national interest against these forces of the unknown which is trying to siphon our wealth and destroying our nation.

Welcome

Welcome to the Malaysian Economic Front. A blog which I have set up to create awareness among Malaysians regarding the current Malaysian economic situation and how the movement of world financial and geopolitics will affect us Malaysians. Please be aware that this blog does not address political issues. Any political related post will be deleted subject to the relevance of the matter.